Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.097770 0.109292 0.121245 0.134539 0.148881 0.163858 0.180650
2024-10-20 0.077778 0.094489 0.112857 0.134408 0.158861 0.185607 0.216933
2024-10-27 0.063971 0.083861 0.106886 0.135176 0.168654 0.206671 0.252754
2024-11-03 0.058344 0.081492 0.109450 0.145080 0.188638 0.239516 0.302770
2024-11-10 0.049666 0.074020 0.104718 0.145266 0.196398 0.257722 0.335756
2024-11-17 0.043602 0.068974 0.102209 0.147517 0.206197 0.278164 0.371529
2024-11-24 0.037966 0.063706 0.098715 0.147892 0.213191 0.294932 0.402851
2024-12-01 0.035963 0.063227 0.101410 0.156289 0.230535 0.324895 0.451084
2024-12-08 0.034201 0.062832 0.104033 0.164505 0.247710 0.354897 0.499872
2024-12-15 0.030561 0.059127 0.101559 0.165346 0.254797 0.371779 0.531994
2024-12-22 0.026307 0.053939 0.096443 0.162015 0.255853 0.380535 0.553535
2024-12-29 0.024930 0.053288 0.098002 0.168237 0.270154 0.407035 0.598635
2025-01-05 0.022833 0.051355 0.097692 0.172051 0.281729 0.430890 0.641804
2025-01-12 0.020677 0.049092 0.096721 0.174859 0.292035 0.453412 0.683919
2025-01-19 0.018629 0.046765 0.095448 0.177087 0.301523 0.475012 0.725251
2025-01-26 0.018652 0.048380 0.100775 0.189749 0.326622 0.518769 0.797435
2025-02-02 0.016595 0.045631 0.098491 0.190231 0.333611 0.537268 0.835365
2025-02-09 0.015135 0.043885 0.097766 0.193088 0.344136 0.560863 0.880612
2025-02-16 0.013494 0.041509 0.095707 0.193594 0.350997 0.579266 0.918850
2025-02-23 0.013309 0.042325 0.099467 0.203848 0.373040 0.619827 0.988603
2025-03-02 0.013092 0.043034 0.103031 0.213844 0.394853 0.660345 1.058772
2025-03-09 0.011827 0.041083 0.101414 0.214870 0.402522 0.680227 1.099847
2025-03-16 0.010142 0.037822 0.097008 0.210827 0.401982 0.687956 1.123664